Tag Archives: elections

Paraguay the Day After

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By Raul Ayala Diarte

With the images from Paraguay’s national elections this past Sunday fresh in our eyes – elections in which businessman Horacio Cartes of the Colorado Party rose to a clear victory by a wide margin – any doubts about the electoral and democratic process in Paraguay have been cleared. The country has now repeatedly held transparent electoral processes since the fall of the dictatorship in 1989.

Nearly 70 percent of the voting population participated in this election – one of the highest percentages in history – to elect a president, vice president, senators, deputies, governors and state boards, and parliamentarians for the Southern Common Market (Mercosur). The election was classified as exemplary by international observers from more than 12 organizations, among them the Organization of American States, the European Union, the Union of South American Nations, the Carter Center, and by the local and international press. What is more important is that the candidates accepted the results and there were no incidences to feed the morbid fascination of those that were anticipating problems in the electoral system.

These elections are historic because the world – and particularly the countries of Latin America – were watching everything with critical eyes. They are historic because for the first time we had an election where the Colorado Party (which was hegemonic for 60 years) was running as the opposition and retook power by winning the majority of seats in play (i.e. Senators, Deputies, and Governors) while the Liberal Party, the current governing party, could not even retain the seats it took in 2008.

The traditional parties that dominate Paraguayan politics, the Colorado Party and the Authentic Radical Liberal Party (PLRA), took more than 80 percent of all votes: Colorado taking 45.8 percent and PLRA 36.94 percent.

The coalition of parties of former President Fernando Lugo obtained 3.32 percent of the votes, amounting to 79,327 voters, which contributes to a better understanding of why Paraguayan society did not defend him during the impeachment trial that cost him the presidency in June 2012. Lugo has lost almost all of his support, as the figures demonstrate, although the coalition got better results in the Senate elections, obtaining five of the 45 seats available.

The Precursor

Like never before in its history, Paraguay became politically isolated by the majority of its South American neighbors. The cause of this isolation, as we know, was the impeachment via political trial of former President Lugo, which the majority of jurists and citizens in our country believe was carried out in the letter and spirit of our Constitution.

Nevertheless, for various leaders in the region motivated by political and ideological interests  – as Uruguayan President José Mújica openly recognized – the impeachment was seen as illegal and as a result caused a rupture in Paraguayan democracy.

Because of this “political” interpretation, regional organizations sanctioned and suspended Paraguay’s participation in key international organizations. The “only way” in which Paraguay could be reintegrated into regional institutions is through the clean election conducted on April 21st. It is important for Paraguay to maintain good relations with its neighboring countries since without international cooperation its landlocked location does not give it many other options for development. The electoral system certainly requires profound reforms to grant more equality to the candidates, but this electoral process played out without any major complications.

In Paraguay, the electoral processes have been characterized by a lack of concrete policy proposals. Nevertheless, this election was different due to civil society’s contribution in helping expand the proposals, perhaps not to the level of a well structured governing plan, but enough to qualify as a substantial improvement in content. To understand this better, it is important to highlight that in the 2008 elections where Fernando Lugo won, a government plan did not exist and the campaign relied on just six core themes. Six months after assuming office, Lugo himself created what was called Cerrito I, which was a plan for a better structured government.

To counter this trend and contribute to the electoral process and an informed vote, the Foundation for Development in Democracy (DENDE) and CERNECO – civil society organizations supported by CIPE, organized candidate debates broadcasted by all the open television channels in the country. The purpose was to allow Paraguayan citizens the opportunity to hear and contrast the candidates’ proposals on the issues that matter to them the most. This event was an innovation in the country, and perhaps the region, where all the television stations in the country – private, public, open, and cable – and more than 500 radio stations broadcasted the debates on March 17 and March 24.

According to estimates, over 3 million people from all over the country observed the debate and according to surveys, 71 percent of these people saw and heard the candidates’ proposals for the first time, demonstrating that the debate reached every corner of the country.

The success of this debate can be attributed to the fact that the four leading candidates all participated. This contrasts with what has happened in other countries in which candidates leading in the polls avoid debates, as is the case of Cristina Kirchner in Argentina and Nicolas Maduro in Venezuela.

What awaits the future government?

The new government will face multiple challenges as well as high expectations and necessary compromises.

With regards to the economy, the priority will be to utilize the country’s favorable natural resource advantages and the ability to produce food to feed 60 million people, an amount 10 times greater than the current population. It is also a priority to establish an industrialization process to generate employment, as well as to control the fiscal deficit.

Other pending topics include:

  • The fight against poverty and inequality
  • The fight against corruption, nepotism, the patronage system, and the quality of politics
  • Making institutions function so that they provide guarantees to citizens

An additional challenge will be to continue to eliminate practices carried down from the previous dictatorial government.

“When the people speak, politicians remain silent.” This phrase summarizes the respect given to popular will as it is reflected in the ballot boxes. ∎

This article originally appeared in Spanish on www.RevistaPerspectiva.com

Raul Ayala Diarte is the executive director of the Foundation for Development in Democracy (DENDE).

The Venezuelan Election

Nicolas Maduro soon after his narrow election win was announced. (Photo: Washington Post)

Nicolas Maduro soon after his narrow election win was announced. (Photo: Washington Post)

By Aurelio Concheso

On Sunday, April 14, Venezuelans went to the polls to elect a president to complete Hugo Chavez´s six-year term, following his death on March 5. The speed with which the election was called had to do with constitutional mandates, but even more with the ruling party’s hope that the pro-Chavez sentiment and bereavement of his followers, coupled with the blatant use of government resources, air time, and voter intimidation, which had become a rule of elections in the times of  Chavismo, would permit a comfortable triumph for his handpicked successor, Nicolas Maduro.

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A Personal Kenyan Voting Experience

Kenyans line up to vote on Monday. (Photo: VOA)

Kenyans line up to vote on Monday. (Photo: VOA)

by Ben Kiragu (CIPE Representative) 3/6/13 at 12:30 AM Kenya Time

Having registered to vote in the first Kenyan election under the new constitution at a school 10 minutes from where we live, my wife and I arrived at the polling station at 7 AM, which is early by all standards, with the expectation that we would be done in an hour as has been our past experience. We were however in for a shock as we arrived to find the polling station full of voters waiting to cast their votes, and we also learned that some had come to the polling station as early as 4 AM and had been waiting for the commencement of the voting at 6 AM.

This time around it was totally different, as the turnout was very high, perhaps indicative of how high the stakes are with this election — even managing to get the middle class who have previously been perceived as indifferent to voting. It took us five tiring hours to vote, occasioned by firstly the big turnout which resulted in long queues (in some stations as long as 5 kilometers), secondly, unlike previous elections under the old constitution where we were voting for only three elective positions (President, Member of Parliament and Councilor), the process was slower this time as we voted for 6 elective positions! (President, Governor, Senator, Women Representative, MP & Ward Representative).

Thirdly, the use of new computerized polling books to authenticate voters also added a further complication and delays to the process. But all in all given the myriad of challenges from limited time for voter education, using of new technology etc., the Independent Election and Boundaries Commission made a good effort. This was apart from attempts made by the Mombasa Republican Council (MRC) to disrupt voting at the coast by ambushing police on patrol, which unfortunately left 6 dead. The elections have otherwise gone on peacefully throughout the country.

As I write this article 27 hours since the voting officially ended, only 39 percent of the polling stations (13,000 out of 33,000) have submitted their results . Prime Minister Raila Odinga of CORD has 42 percent of the votes cast while Uhuru Kenyatta of Jubilee has 53 percent. The delay in relaying the results which has  today seen the running mate of Raila Odinga, Kalonzo Musyoka call a press conference about 7 hours ago (5pm Kenyan time) to raise  concerns regarding delays and reassure CORD supporter that victory is still within their reach.

With the results released so far it is too early to call the election given that only 39 percent of the polling stations have announced their results. Also the new constitution requires the winning candidate to garner 50 percent plus 1 of the total votes cast, and also 25 percent of the votes cast in at least half of the counties, in this case 24. We expect the final result of the provisional presidential tally to be made known by tomorrow evening (Wednesday); however the election law gives IEBC up to 7 days after the end of voting to announce the final results.

Although people are getting apprehensive at the slow pace at which the results are trickling in there is an uneasy calm. Despite the challenges associated with running such a complex election, with all manner of expectations and suspicions after the 2007-8 debacles, the IEBC has so far been professional, transparent and have run a credible process. This credibility may however quickly be eroded if the delays in announcing the results especially the presidential election continue beyond tomorrow.

Update: Since this report was submitted, Kenyan election officials have been counting votes by hand as electronic systems broke down. Today, March 7, the party of Raila Odinga called for the count to be stopped and claims the vote is being “doctored.”

Kenya’s Imperfect Election

Kenyan citizens line up to cast their ballots in today's election. (Photo: Voice of America)

Kenyan citizens line up to cast their ballots in today’s election. (Photo: VOA)

Long lines as biometric kits fail, sporadic violence that has resulted in death, and accusations of vote buying have not stopped more than 14 million Kenyans from heading to the polls. The international community and many Kenyans are worried that today’s election could result in a repeat of the 2007 election that resulted in more than 1,133 deaths and hundreds of thousands of displaced people. While not perfect, it does seem that Kenya’s 10th election since independence in 1963 will not be a repeat of 2007.

The dynamic has changed. First, Kenyans showed when they approved the constitution in 2010 that they had a new vision for the future. Second, while many political campaigns are still based on tribal affiliation as in the past,  the current candidates do not want to be accused of instigating violence. Kenya has revitalized its judiciary and the heavy hand of the International Criminal Court seems to be in the back of every candidate’s mind. Third, Kenyans themselves realize that in 2007 they stepped up to the precipice and almost dissolved into a failed state, and this time around citizens and civil society have had five years of preparation to prevent a repeat of the past.

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Inauguration Day in Venezuela

chavez-photo

The presidential inauguration in Venezuela has come and gone and President Chavez was a no-show, still presumably recuperating from a post-operative respiratory infection after his fourth surgery to “remove malignant cells” from his pelvic area. In reality, little is officially known about his actual medical condition and whether he will ever be able to return and reclaim the presidency. He has not been seen in public since December 11.

Until Wednesday’s decision by the Venezuelan Supreme Court, the lack of information about what would happen on inauguration day left Venezuelans unsettled. Police and military were in the streets of Caracas to fend off any disturbances that might occur.

Unsurprisingly, the court ruled in favor of viewing the inauguration as a formality and saw no legal obstacle to Chavez continuing as head of state for an unspecified period of time. The decision provoked an outcry from opposition forces that claimed a rupture in constitutional democracy in the country. However, former opposition presidential candidate Henrique Capriles accepted the decision calmly, claiming that the opposition “can’t be seen as trying to gain via a technicality what we have yet to achieve via the vote.”

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Democracy Beyond Election Day

Many of CIPE’s U.S.-based staff will be voting today in the closely-watched presidential election, as well as for their national, state, and local, representatives. Voting is a cherished and fundamental right essential to democracy. However, it is important to remember that the democratic process does not start on election day, nor does it end once the ballots have been counted.

Most of democracy is about what happens between elections. Many Americans complain about negative campaigning or the sheer volume of the advertising blitz in swing states, but thanks to a vibrant media (including the Internet and a 24 hour news cycle) American voters have no shortage of information about the candidates and their policy proposals — essential information both for making a choice on election day and for holding elected officials accountable once they are in office. That’s why CIPE supports partner organizations to advocate for political parties and candidates to release their policy proposals during campaigns, meet with important stakeholders, and debate their positions in public before the election.

Whichever candidates win today, Americans can be sure that their actions will be closely watched and they will be held to account for the promises they’ve made. Their policy proposals will be thoroughly analysed by think tanks, business associations, labor unions, nonprofit organizations, and academics, and dissected and debated in the media, online, and between friends and family members. Civil society groups will advocate for and against those policies that affect the people they represent, and elected representatives will be made to publicly explain their decisions.

This is the “infrastructure of democracy” — the rights, laws, institutions, and organizations that allow a democratic society to function. It can be messy at times, and the system is always in need of improvement. But whether sitting through the same campaign advertisement for the 100th time, standing in line for hours in the cold to cast a ballot, or listening to a pundit we disagree with on TV, we know that despite all its minor inconveniences what Winston Churchill said in 1947 still holds true: “Indeed, it has been said that democracy is the worst form of government except all those other forms that have been tried from time to time.

Holding Candidates Accountable in Ukraine

A candidate for a seat in parliament representing Lviv region speaks at a meeting with private-sector representatives.

In a cavernous, ornate hall inside the Palace of Railroad Workers in the western Ukrainian city of Lviv, 10 parliamentary candidates faced off in late September opposite an equal number of local business owners and leaders of business associations. Over the course of three hours, the group grappled with issues of importance to the local business community, ranging from tax rates to economic development initiatives. What emerged was a deep skepticism among businessmen, especially on the parliament’s ability to tackle corruption issues, and a written pledge by most of the candidates to adhere to a set of five legislative priorities established by the local business community with CIPE support.

This was a scene repeated across Ukraine in the run-up to October 28 parliamentary elections. In 10 regions, including Lviv, CIPE supported the process as part of a year-long effort to raise the profile of business concerns in the 450-seat parliament.

According to CIPE Ukraine director Nataliya Balandina, an added dividend of the project has been a boost in the standing of the local CIPE partner organizations that organize the candidate forums and pledges. “It is not just the candidates and politicians are learning that small and medium businesses are capable of taking action and spreading information quickly, but it also ordinary citizens who learn about these [business] organizations for the first time and see what they do,” says Balandina.

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